William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

HOME      ABOUT     CONTACT 

 

 

 

 

ARE DEMOCRATS CHANGING FOR THE WORSE? – AT 11:21 A.M. ET:  If the 2014 elections proved anything, it's that the Democratic Party has lost touch with its traditional base of working men and women.  It's now a party of race, gender, and ethnicity.  From Breitbart: 

In 2016, especially after President Barack Obama’s executive amnesty, Democrats may be on even thinner ice with white voters, especially white working-class males.

Though the mainstream media wants to gin up the narrative that Republicans have trouble winning minorities, the 2014 midterm elections again showed, as Politico noted, “that Democrats have their own significant demographic vulnerability: working-class white voters. Republicans won white voters without a college degree by 30 points, 64 percent to 34 percent, according to exit polls, equal to their margin in the wave election of 2010.” In addition, “support for President Barack Obama among working-class whites has dropped 8 points since 2010.”

Political analyst Charlie Cook told the outlet that “Democrats have chosen to focus on issues that the liberal base of the party really likes, but the working-class person in West Virginia or Arkansas or Louisiana or Alaska doesn’t necessarily identify with.”

“The challenge that the Democratic Party has in parts of the country appears to be even more formidable than it was two years ago,” he added.

But Obama is likely to swerve even more to the left after Democrats in red states like Mark Pryor, Kay Hagan, Mark Begich and Mary Landrieu lost their reelection bids in Arkansas, North Carolina, Arkansas, and Louisiana, respectively.

In his end-of-year press conference, Obama indicated that he was liberated because he no longer had to worry about the reelection prospects of Democrats from conservative states. Obama and Democrats are gambling that minorities who powered Obama into the White House will continue to be galvanized in presidential elections.

COMMENT:  And that remains to be seen.  Obama was an electoral phenomenon (and a governmental disaster).  I can't see blacks animated by Hillary Clinton, who's been around for 25 years.  As Hispanics are absorbed into the American mainstream, they may divide politically, much as other Americans.  The loyalty of women to the Democratic Party is clearly wobbly.  Married women are trending Republican.  Can Hillary reverse that trend?  Maybe.  But she's currently kowtowing to the left to avoid a primary challenge from the Obama wing. 

Very interesting political situation developing.

January 4, 2015